Research

MBS D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,642 MBS D candles
Period
2016-03-29 – 2026-10-22 (10.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MBS — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 77 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 77 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MBS — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 92 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 65 times — 70.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 29.3%

MBS — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 160 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 103 times — 64.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 35.6%

MBS — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 210 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 126 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 84 times — 40%

MBS — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 241 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 102 times — 42.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 139 times — 57.7%

MBS — Bull Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 153 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 34.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 100 times — 65.4%

Current market energy at 60.42%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.08 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.42 points

MBS — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 126 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 126 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MBS?

Historically, when MBS was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 34.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 65.4% of the time (across 153 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 60.42%, 14.08 points from the upper bound and 0.42 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,642 candles from 2016-03-29 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MBS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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