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Research

IST W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
487 IST W candles
Period
2017-01-09 – 2026-10-19 (9.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme33 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical26 times
↑50%
↓50%
Bull Bias39 times
↑59%
↓41%
Neutral22 times
↑68.2%
↓31.8%
Bear Bias21 times
↑57.1%
↓42.9%
Bear Critical17 times
↑70.6%
↓29.4%
Bear Extreme★★19 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

IST — Bear Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -77.39%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.89 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 22.61 points

IST — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 17 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 70.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 29.4%

IST — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 57.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 42.9%

IST — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 22 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 68.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 31.8%

IST — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 39 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 59%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 41%

IST — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 50%

IST — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of IST?

Historically, when IST was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 19 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -77.39%, 2.89 points from the upper bound and 22.61 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 487 candles from 2017-01-09 to 2026-10-19, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing IST's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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