Research

IST D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,976 IST D candles
Period
2017-01-06 – 2026-10-23 (9.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

IST — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 98 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 98 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

IST — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 57.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 42.3%

IST — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 66 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 53%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 47%

IST — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 50%

IST — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 55.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 44.9%

IST — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 75 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 52%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 48%

IST — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 125 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 125 times — 100%

Current market energy at 84.34%
Distance to peak 100%: 15.66 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 9.84 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of IST?

Historically, when IST was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 125 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 84.34%, 15.66 points from the upper bound and 9.84 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,976 candles from 2017-01-06 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing IST's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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