Research

ICT W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
348 ICT W candles
Period
2020-01-20 – 2026-10-12 (6.7 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

ICT — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 5 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 5 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ICT — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 70%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times — 30%

ICT — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 77.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 22.2%

ICT — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 37.9%

ICT — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 37.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 62.1%

Current market energy at 49.47%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 10.53 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.59 points

ICT — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 33.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 66.7%

ICT — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ICT?

Historically, when ICT was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 37.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 62.1% of the time (across 29 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 49.47%, 10.53 points from the upper bound and 28.59 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 348 candles from 2020-01-20 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ICT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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