Research

ICT 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ICT on the ICT Stock overview →

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Sample: 3,315 candles 1H from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-28

ICTBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 140 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

ICTBear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 115 times 74.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times 25.8%

ICTBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 254 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 147 times 57.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times 42.1%

ICTNeutral 1H

Occurrences: 232 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 94 times 40.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 138 times 59.5%

ICTBull Bias 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 171 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times 36.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times 63.7%

Current market energy at 50.2%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 9.8 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 29.32 points

ICTBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 105 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times 31.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 72 times 68.6%

ICTBull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 123 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ICT?

Historically, when ICT was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 36.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 63.7% of the time (across 171 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 50.2%, 9.8 points from the upper bound and 29.32 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,315 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ICT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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