ICT 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 3,389 ICT 1H candles
- Period
- 2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
ICT — Bear Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 144 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
ICT — Bear Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 115 times — 74.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 25.8%
ICT — Bear Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 255 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 148 times — 58%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 42%
ICT — Neutral — 1H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 236 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 96 times — 40.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 140 times — 59.3%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 19.02 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 22.74 points
ICT — Bull Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 63 times — 36.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 111 times — 63.8%
ICT — Bull Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 108 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 34 times — 31.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 74 times — 68.5%
ICT — Bull Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 127 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 127 times — 100%
What is the trend of ICT?
Historically, when ICT was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 40.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 59.3% of the time (across 236 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 1.86%, 19.02 points from the upper bound and 22.74 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 3,389 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing ICT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .