Research

HPD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,797 HPD 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HPD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 114 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 114 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HPD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 51.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 48.2%

HPD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 81 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 48.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 51.9%

HPD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times — 53.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 46.8%

HPD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 86 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times — 48.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 44 times — 51.2%

HPD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 70 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 37 times — 52.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 47.1%

HPD — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 115 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 100%

Current market energy at 93.55%
Distance to peak 100%: 6.45 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 19.05 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HPD?

Historically, when HPD was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 115 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 93.55%, 6.45 points from the upper bound and 19.05 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,797 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HPD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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