Research

HPD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,590 HPD D candles
Period
2015-06-12 – 2026-10-21 (11.4 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HPD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 108 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 108 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HPD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 64 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 60.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 39.1%

HPD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 60 times — 59.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 40.6%

HPD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 112 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 58 times — 51.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 54 times — 48.2%

HPD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 115 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 47.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 52.2%

HPD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 49.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 50.7%

HPD — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 131 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 131 times — 100%

Current market energy at 77.88%
Distance to peak 100%: 22.12 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 3.38 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HPD?

Historically, when HPD was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 131 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 77.88%, 22.12 points from the upper bound and 3.38 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,590 candles from 2015-06-12 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HPD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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