Research

HCM 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 3,841 candles 1H from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-28

HCMBear Extreme 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 122 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 122 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

Current market energy at -95.8%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.3 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 4.2 points

HCMBear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 157 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 105 times 66.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 52 times 33.1%

HCMBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 261 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 160 times 61.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 101 times 38.7%

HCMNeutral 1H

Occurrences: 292 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 152 times 52.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 140 times 47.9%

HCMBull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 293 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 99 times 33.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 194 times 66.2%

HCMBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 190 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 51 times 26.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 139 times 73.2%

HCMBull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 169 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 169 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HCM?

Historically, when HCM was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 122 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -95.8%, 21.3 points from the upper bound and 4.2 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,841 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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HCM 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends | 2AiTrading