Research

HCM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,641 HCM D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HCM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 150 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 150 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HCM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 154 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 63%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 37%

HCM — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 252 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 141 times — 56%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 111 times — 44%

HCM — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 261 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 51.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 127 times — 48.7%

HCM — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 279 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 120 times — 43%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 159 times — 57%

Current market energy at 36.76%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 23.24 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 15.88 points

HCM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 186 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 28.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 133 times — 71.5%

HCM — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 168 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 168 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HCM?

Historically, when HCM was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 43% of the time and down to a lower zone 57% of the time (across 279 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 36.76%, 23.24 points from the upper bound and 15.88 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,641 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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