Research

HCM D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 3,605 candles D from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-28

HCMBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 147 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

HCMBear Critical D

Occurrences: 151 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times 62.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 56 times 37.1%

HCMBear Bias D

Occurrences: 246 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 137 times 55.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times 44.3%

HCMNeutral D

Occurrences: 257 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times 52.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times 47.9%

HCMBull Bias D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 278 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 120 times 43.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 158 times 56.8%

Current market energy at 47.9%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 12.1 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.02 points

HCMBull Critical D

Occurrences: 185 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times 28.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 132 times 71.4%

HCMBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 167 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 167 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HCM?

Historically, when HCM was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 43.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 56.8% of the time (across 278 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 47.9%, 12.1 points from the upper bound and 27.02 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,605 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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