Research

HAR D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,430 HAR D candles
Period
2013-01-18 – 2026-10-22 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HAR — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 143 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 143 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HAR — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 154 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 93 times — 60.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 39.6%

HAR — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 225 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times — 52.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 47.6%

HAR — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 232 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 110 times — 47.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 52.6%

HAR — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 231 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 93 times — 40.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 138 times — 59.7%

Current market energy at 50.37%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 9.63 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 29.49 points

HAR — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 142 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 31%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 98 times — 69%

HAR — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 154 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 154 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HAR?

Historically, when HAR was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 40.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 59.7% of the time (across 231 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 50.37%, 9.63 points from the upper bound and 29.49 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,430 candles from 2013-01-18 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HAR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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