Research

HAR 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,927 HAR 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-09 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

HAR — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 83 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 83 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HAR — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 135 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 94 times — 69.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 30.4%

HAR — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 288 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 200 times — 69.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 88 times — 30.6%

HAR — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 350 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 165 times — 47.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 185 times — 52.9%

HAR — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 248 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 72 times — 29%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 176 times — 71%

Current market energy at 57.09%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 2.91 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 36.21 points

HAR — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 107 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 20.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 85 times — 79.4%

HAR — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 80 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 80 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HAR?

Historically, when HAR was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 29% of the time and down to a lower zone 71% of the time (across 248 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 57.09%, 2.91 points from the upper bound and 36.21 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,927 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HAR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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