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Research

FCM 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,834 FCM 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★96 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical119 times
↑24.4%
↓75.6%
Bull Bias281 times
↑26.3%
↓73.7%
Neutral390 times
↑47.9%
↓52.1%
Bear Bias304 times
↑69.1%
↓30.9%
Bear Critical132 times
↑72%
↓28%
Bear Extreme99 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

FCM — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 99 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 99 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

FCM — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 132 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times — 72%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 28%

FCM — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 304 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 210 times — 69.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 94 times — 30.9%

FCM — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 390 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 187 times — 47.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 203 times — 52.1%

FCM — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 281 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 74 times — 26.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 207 times — 73.7%

FCM — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 119 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 24.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 90 times — 75.6%

FCM — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 96 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 96 times — 100%

Current market energy at 99.21%
Distance to peak 100%: 0.79 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 24.71 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of FCM?

Historically, when FCM was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 96 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 99.21%, 0.79 points from the upper bound and 24.71 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,834 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing FCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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