Research

FCM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,356 FCM D candles
Period
2013-05-16 – 2026-10-22 (13.4 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

FCM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 86 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 86 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

FCM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 34.7%

FCM — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 206 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 141 times — 68.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 65 times — 31.6%

FCM — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 247 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 124 times — 50.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times — 49.8%

FCM — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 224 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 83 times — 37.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 141 times — 62.9%

FCM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 41 times — 28.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 104 times — 71.7%

FCM — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 136 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 136 times — 100%

Current market energy at 74.56%
Distance to peak 100%: 25.44 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.06 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of FCM?

Historically, when FCM was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 136 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 74.56%, 25.44 points from the upper bound and 0.06 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,356 candles from 2013-05-16 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing FCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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