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Research

EMS 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,395 EMS 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-26 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme109 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical46 times
↑43.5%
↓56.5%
Bull Bias92 times
↑48.9%
↓51.1%
Neutral62 times
↑54.8%
↓45.2%
Bear Bias★86 times
↑54.7%
↓45.3%
Bear Critical★41 times
↑61%
↓39%
Bear Extreme100 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

EMS — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 100 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

EMS — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 61%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 39%

EMS — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 86 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 54.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 45.3%

Current market energy at -38.98%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 18.1 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.02 points

EMS — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 62 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 34 times — 54.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 45.2%

EMS — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 92 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 45 times — 48.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 47 times — 51.1%

EMS — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 43.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 56.5%

EMS — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 109 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of EMS?

Historically, when EMS was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 54.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 45.3% of the time (across 86 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -38.98%, 18.1 points from the upper bound and 21.02 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,395 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-26, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing EMS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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