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Research

EMS D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,772 EMS D candles
Period
2018-01-08 – 2026-10-22 (8.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme115 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical59 times
↑44.1%
↓55.9%
Bull Bias82 times
↑40.2%
↓59.8%
Neutral78 times
↑46.2%
↓53.8%
Bear Bias★★109 times
↑44%
↓56%
Bear Critical74 times
↑59.5%
↓40.5%
Bear Extreme149 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

EMS — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

EMS — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 74 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 59.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 40.5%

EMS — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 109 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 48 times — 44%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 56%

Current market energy at -35.78%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.9 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.22 points

EMS — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 46.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 53.8%

EMS — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 82 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 40.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 49 times — 59.8%

EMS — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 44.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 55.9%

EMS — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 115 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of EMS?

Historically, when EMS was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 44% of the time and down to a lower zone 56% of the time (across 109 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -35.78%, 14.9 points from the upper bound and 24.22 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,772 candles from 2018-01-08 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing EMS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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