Research

CTD W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 745 candles W from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17

CTDBear Extreme W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 15 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

Current market energy at -77%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.5 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 23 points

CTDBear Critical W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times 73.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times 26.3%

CTDBear Bias W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times 64.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times 35.7%

CTDNeutral W

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 37 times 61.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times 38.3%

CTDBull Bias W

Occurrences: 69 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times 43.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times 56.5%

CTDBull Critical W

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times 41.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 58.7%

CTDBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CTD?

Historically, when CTD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 15 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -77%, 2.5 points from the upper bound and 23 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 745 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CTD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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