Research

CTD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,641 CTD D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

CTD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 158 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 158 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CTD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 153 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 96 times — 62.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 37.3%

CTD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 231 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 133 times — 57.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 98 times — 42.4%

CTD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 242 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 119 times — 49.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times — 50.8%

CTD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 266 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 123 times — 46.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 53.8%

CTD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 216 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 84 times — 38.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 132 times — 61.1%

CTD — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 224 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 224 times — 100%

Current market energy at 88.02%
Distance to peak 100%: 11.98 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 13.52 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CTD?

Historically, when CTD was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 224 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 88.02%, 11.98 points from the upper bound and 13.52 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,641 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CTD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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