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Research

CMT W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
748 CMT W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme26 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical40 times
↑15%
↓85%
Bull Bias71 times
↑45.1%
↓54.9%
Neutral67 times
↑52.2%
↓47.8%
Bear Bias39 times
↑84.6%
↓15.4%
Bear Critical19 times
↑68.4%
↓31.6%
Bear Extreme★★13 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

CMT — Bear Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 13 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -89.96%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.46 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 10.04 points

CMT — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 68.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 31.6%

CMT — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 39 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 84.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 15.4%

CMT — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 52.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 47.8%

CMT — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 45.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 54.9%

CMT — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 6 times — 15%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 34 times — 85%

CMT — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMT?

Historically, when CMT was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 13 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -89.96%, 15.46 points from the upper bound and 10.04 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 748 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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