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Research

CMT D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,473 CMT D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-21 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme214 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical187 times
↑45.5%
↓54.5%
Bull Bias235 times
↑50.2%
↓49.8%
Neutral188 times
↑63.3%
↓36.7%
Bear Bias★★178 times
↑53.4%
↓46.6%
Bear Critical115 times
↑66.1%
↓33.9%
Bear Extreme153 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

CMT — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 153 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 153 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CMT — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 115 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times — 66.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 33.9%

CMT — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 178 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times — 53.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 83 times — 46.6%

Current market energy at -30.72%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.84 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.28 points

CMT — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 188 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 119 times — 63.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 69 times — 36.7%

CMT — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 235 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times — 50.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 117 times — 49.8%

CMT — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 187 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times — 45.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 102 times — 54.5%

CMT — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 214 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 214 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMT?

Historically, when CMT was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 53.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 46.6% of the time (across 178 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -30.72%, 9.84 points from the upper bound and 29.28 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,473 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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