Research

CMS 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,799 CMS 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

CMS — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 183 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 183 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CMS — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 205 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 128 times — 62.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 77 times — 37.6%

CMS — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 262 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 146 times — 55.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 116 times — 44.3%

CMS — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 251 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 116 times — 46.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 135 times — 53.8%

CMS — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 237 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 32.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 159 times — 67.1%

CMS — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 40 times — 28.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 100 times — 71.4%

CMS — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 140 times — 100%

Current market energy at 97.75%
Distance to peak 100%: 2.25 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.25 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMS?

Historically, when CMS was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 140 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 97.75%, 2.25 points from the upper bound and 23.25 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,799 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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