Research

CMS D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,632 CMS D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-09 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

CMS — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 110 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 110 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CMS — Bear Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 120 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 62.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 37.5%

Current market energy at -69.98%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.98 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.52 points

CMS — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 210 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 133 times — 63.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 77 times — 36.7%

CMS — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 243 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 130 times — 53.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 113 times — 46.5%

CMS — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 255 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 114 times — 44.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 141 times — 55.3%

CMS — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 169 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 32.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 114 times — 67.5%

CMS — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 167 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 167 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMS?

Historically, when CMS was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 62.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 37.5% of the time (across 120 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -69.98%, 9.98 points from the upper bound and 4.52 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,632 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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