Research

CMI 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 329 candles 1H from 2023-08-04 to 2026-08-21

CMIBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 14 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

CMIBear Critical 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 7 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3 times 42.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times 57.1%

Current market energy at -73.4%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.4 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.1 points

CMIBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times 44.4%

CMINeutral 1H

Occurrences: 22 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times 68.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times 31.8%

CMIBull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times 47.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times 52.4%

CMIBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 13 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times 69.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times 30.8%

CMIBull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMI?

Historically, when CMI was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 42.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 57.1% of the time (across 7 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -73.4%, 13.4 points from the upper bound and 1.1 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 329 candles from 2023-08-04 to 2026-08-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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