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Research

CMI 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
333 CMI 1H candles
Period
2023-08-04 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme25 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical13 times
↑69.2%
↓30.8%
Bull Bias22 times
↑45.5%
↓54.5%
Neutral23 times
↑69.6%
↓30.4%
Bear Bias★★18 times
↑55.6%
↓44.4%
Bear Critical8 times
↑50%
↓50%
Bear Extreme14 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

CMI — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 14 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CMI — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 8 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 50%

CMI — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times — 44.4%

Current market energy at -45.31%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.43 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 14.69 points

CMI — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 23 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 69.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 30.4%

CMI — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 22 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 45.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 54.5%

CMI — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 13 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times — 69.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 30.8%

CMI — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMI?

Historically, when CMI was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 55.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 44.4% of the time (across 18 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -45.31%, 24.43 points from the upper bound and 14.69 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 333 candles from 2023-08-04 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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