Research

CMI D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,549 CMI D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-23 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

CMI — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 90 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 90 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -99.91%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 25.41 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 0.09 points

CMI — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 45 times — 61.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 38.4%

CMI — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 130 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 83 times — 63.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 47 times — 36.2%

CMI — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 156 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times — 48.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 80 times — 51.3%

CMI — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 165 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times — 43%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 94 times — 57%

CMI — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 109 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 29.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 77 times — 70.6%

CMI — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 111 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 111 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMI?

Historically, when CMI was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 90 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -99.91%, 25.41 points from the upper bound and 0.09 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,549 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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