Research

CMI D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 2,545 candles D from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-21

CMIBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 90 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 90 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

CMIBear Critical D

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 45 times 61.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times 38.4%

CMIBear Bias D

Occurrences: 130 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 83 times 63.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 47 times 36.2%

CMINeutral D

Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times 48.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 80 times 51.6%

CMIBull Bias D

Occurrences: 165 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times 43%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 94 times 57%

CMIBull Critical D

Occurrences: 109 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times 29.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 77 times 70.6%

CMIBull Extreme D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 109 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times 100%

Current market energy at 99.3%
Distance to peak 100%: 0.7 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 24.8 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMI?

Historically, when CMI was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 109 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 99.3%, 0.7 points from the upper bound and 24.8 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,545 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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