Research

BTP 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,570 BTP 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

BTP — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 180 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 180 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

BTP — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 218 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 144 times — 66.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 74 times — 33.9%

BTP — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 293 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 143 times — 48.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 150 times — 51.2%

Current market energy at -59.42%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 38.54 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 0.58 points

BTP — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 212 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 80 times — 37.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 132 times — 62.3%

BTP — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 40%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 93 times — 60%

BTP — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 26.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 74 times — 73.3%

BTP — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 100 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BTP?

Historically, when BTP was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 48.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 51.2% of the time (across 293 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -59.42%, 38.54 points from the upper bound and 0.58 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,570 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BTP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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