Research

BTP D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,628 BTP D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

BTP — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 91 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 91 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -81.52%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.02 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 18.48 points

BTP — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 115 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 84 times — 73%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 27%

BTP — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 206 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 136 times — 66%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 70 times — 34%

BTP — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 269 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 153 times — 56.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 116 times — 43.1%

BTP — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 269 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 108 times — 40.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 161 times — 59.9%

BTP — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 162 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 32.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times — 67.3%

BTP — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 144 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BTP?

Historically, when BTP was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 91 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -81.52%, 7.02 points from the upper bound and 18.48 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,628 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BTP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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