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Research

BMP 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,021 BMP 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme194 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical★204 times
↑28.4%
↓71.6%
Bull Bias269 times
↑40.5%
↓59.5%
Neutral248 times
↑41.5%
↓58.5%
Bear Bias297 times
↑50.8%
↓49.2%
Bear Critical★218 times
↑55.5%
↓44.5%
Bear Extreme210 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Critical→Sellers→

BMP — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 210 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 210 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

BMP — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 218 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 121 times — 55.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 97 times — 44.5%

Current market energy at -60.54%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.54 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.96 points

BMP — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 297 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 151 times — 50.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 146 times — 49.2%

BMP — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 248 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 103 times — 41.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 145 times — 58.5%

BMP — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 269 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 109 times — 40.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 160 times — 59.5%

BMP — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 204 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 58 times — 28.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 146 times — 71.6%

BMP — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 194 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 194 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BMP?

Historically, when BMP was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 55.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 44.5% of the time (across 218 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -60.54%, 0.54 points from the upper bound and 13.96 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,021 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BMP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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