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Research

BMP D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,641 BMP D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme193 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical200 times
↑33.5%
↓66.5%
Bull Bias249 times
↑40.2%
↓59.8%
Neutral241 times
↑53.5%
↓46.5%
Bear Bias252 times
↑48.8%
↓51.2%
Bear Critical170 times
↑65.9%
↓34.1%
Bear Extreme★★158 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

BMP — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 158 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 158 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -77.88%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.38 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 22.12 points

BMP — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 170 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 112 times — 65.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times — 34.1%

BMP — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 252 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 123 times — 48.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 129 times — 51.2%

BMP — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 241 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 129 times — 53.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 112 times — 46.5%

BMP — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 249 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 100 times — 40.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 59.8%

BMP — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 200 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 67 times — 33.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 133 times — 66.5%

BMP — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 193 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 193 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BMP?

Historically, when BMP was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 158 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -77.88%, 3.38 points from the upper bound and 22.12 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,641 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BMP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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