Research

ASM 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,019 ASM 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

ASM — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 100 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -78.99%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.49 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 21.01 points

ASM — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 150 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 98 times — 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 52 times — 34.7%

ASM — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 273 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 156 times — 57.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 117 times — 42.9%

ASM — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 287 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 146 times — 50.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 141 times — 49.1%

ASM — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 253 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 83 times — 32.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 170 times — 67.2%

ASM — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 146 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 19.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 118 times — 80.8%

ASM — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 110 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 110 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ASM?

Historically, when ASM was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 100 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -78.99%, 4.49 points from the upper bound and 21.01 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,019 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ASM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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