Research

ASM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,632 ASM D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-09 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

ASM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 136 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 136 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ASM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 165 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 107 times — 64.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times — 35.2%

ASM — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 260 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 153 times — 58.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 41.2%

Current market energy at -23.88%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 36.12 points

ASM — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 294 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 45.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 160 times — 54.4%

ASM — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 256 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 82 times — 32%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 174 times — 68%

ASM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 156 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 30.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times — 69.9%

ASM — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 155 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ASM?

Historically, when ASM was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 58.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 41.2% of the time (across 260 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -23.88%, 3 points from the upper bound and 36.12 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,632 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ASM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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