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Research

APS W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
752 APS W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme25 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical37 times
↑29.7%
↓70.3%
Bull Bias55 times
↑38.2%
↓61.8%
Neutral56 times
↑42.9%
↓57.1%
Bear Bias52 times
↑51.9%
↓48.1%
Bear Critical★★33 times
↑78.8%
↓21.2%
Bear Extreme22 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Critical→Sellers→

APS — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 22 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

APS — Bear Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 78.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 21.2%

Current market energy at -69.02%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.02 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.48 points

APS — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 51.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 48.1%

APS — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 42.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 57.1%

APS — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 55 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 38.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 34 times — 61.8%

APS — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 37 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 29.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 70.3%

APS — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of APS?

Historically, when APS was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 78.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 21.2% of the time (across 33 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -69.02%, 9.02 points from the upper bound and 5.48 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 752 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing APS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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