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Research

APS D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,643 APS D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★179 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical206 times
↑35.9%
↓64.1%
Bull Bias303 times
↑46.9%
↓53.1%
Neutral272 times
↑48.2%
↓51.8%
Bear Bias247 times
↑59.9%
↓40.1%
Bear Critical146 times
↑67.1%
↓32.9%
Bear Extreme127 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

APS — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 127 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 127 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

APS — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 146 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 98 times — 67.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times — 32.9%

APS — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 247 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 148 times — 59.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 99 times — 40.1%

APS — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 272 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 131 times — 48.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 141 times — 51.8%

APS — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 303 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 142 times — 46.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 161 times — 53.1%

APS — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 206 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 74 times — 35.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 132 times — 64.1%

APS — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 179 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 179 times — 100%

Current market energy at 78.73%
Distance to peak 100%: 21.27 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.23 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of APS?

Historically, when APS was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 179 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 78.73%, 21.27 points from the upper bound and 4.23 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,643 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing APS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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