Analysis

XPDUSD 1,136.35 ↓0.54%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 16:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1,142.9 · High 1,143.2 · Low 1,131.35 · Close 1,136.35 · Range (high − low) 11.85
XPDUSD closed at 1,136.35, down 6.15 (-0.54%) from 1,142.5.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 30.6% to Bull Bias at 33.8%, up 3.2 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1,1291,133.51,142.51,136.4
Energy18.9%16.3%30.6%33.8%
Price change↓ 0.76%↑ 0.40%↑ 0.79%↓ 0.54%
Energy change↓ 10.0↓ 2.6↑ 14.2↑ 3.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.76%↑ 0.40%↑ 0.79%↓ 0.54%↓ 10.0↓ 2.6↑ 14.2↑ 3.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.54% — higher than 48% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.2 pts — higher than 16% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 330 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 25 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 16%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 21 times — 84%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 33.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 26.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 12.88%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
30.6%
Bull Bias
33.8%
Bull Bias
7.6%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, XPDUSD recorded in trend energy leaning Bull.

Market trend energy Market Energy at 33.8%, up +3.2% from 30.6% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to 33.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 16-10-2026, XPDUSD was at 1,136.35, down 0.54% from the previous candle (1,142.5). Market Energy was 33.8%, up 3.2 points from 30.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,136.35, down 0.54% from the previous 4H candle (1,142.5). This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 305 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.6% to 33.8%. This rise is larger than 16% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 30.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 33.8%, XPDUSD is 26.24 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 12.88 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Bias, 33.8%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71%. XPDUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .