Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,357.2 to 1,351.85, down 0.39%
Market Energy Bear Critical -69.3% to Bear Extreme -80.3%, down 11.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.44%0.48%1.29%0.39%
Energy61.512.120.911.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.44% 0.48% 1.29% 0.39% 61.5 12.1 20.9 11.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 36% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.0 pts — higher than 51% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 189 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 8 times

When XPDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 8 times100%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XPDUSD market energy: -80.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 5.76%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.74%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-08 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-69.3%
Bear Critical
-80.3%
Bear Extreme
-79.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, XPDUSD classified as the extreme Bear energy zone.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -11% from the previous candle, from -69.3% to -80.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.3 to +98.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,351.85, down 0.39% from the previous candle (1,357.2). Market Energy was -80.3%, down 11.0 points from -69.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,351.85, down 0.39% from the previous 4H candle (1,357.2). This drop is larger than 36% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 168 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11 percentage points from the previous candle — from -69.3% to -80.3%. This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at -69.3%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.3%, XPDUSD is 5.76 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.74 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -17.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 2.3%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Extreme, -80.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.5%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 59.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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