Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,438.9 to 1,424.35, down 1.01%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 100.0% to Bull Extreme 87.8%, down 12.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 2.18%▲ 3.93%▼ 1.01%
Energy▲ 2.4▲ 16.2▲ 10.3▼ 12.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 2.18%▲ 3.93%▼ 1.01%▲ 2.4▲ 16.2▲ 10.3▼ 12.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.01% — higher than 78% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.2 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 244 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 6 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 100%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 87.8%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 12.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 13.3%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
100.0%
Bull Extreme
87.8%
Bull Extreme
82.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, XPDUSD within the Bull Extreme energy zone.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy reading dropped -12.2%, moving from 100% to 87.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.4 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 28-08-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,424.35, down 1.01% from the previous candle (1,438.9). Market Energy was 87.8%, down 12.2 points from 100%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,424.35, down 1.01% from the previous 4H candle (1,438.9). This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 133 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 100% to 87.8%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 100%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 87.8%, XPDUSD is 12.2 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 13.3 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -5.2%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Extreme, 87.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -0.7%. XPDUSD energy is currently above DXY by 88.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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