Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,372.55 to 1,369, down 0.26%
Market Energy Neutral 4.1% to Bear Bias -21.8%, down 26.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 17% of past drops
Energy down 26.0 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.040.450.350.2610.317.519.326.0-3-2-1nến này
XPDUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 135 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 11 times

When XPDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 6 times54.5%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 5 times45.5%

Current XPDUSD market energy: -21.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 0.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 38.17%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-08-11 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
4.1%
Neutral
-21.8%
Bear Bias
-20.8%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, XPDUSD within the Market Energy zone leaning Bear.

Market trend energy Market trend energy recorded a -26% drop from the previous candle, from 4.1% to -21.8%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -21.8 to +58.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XPDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 11-08-2026 closed, XPDUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21.8%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 26 percentage points from the previous candle — from 4.1% to -21.8%.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 4.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -21.8%, XPDUSD is 0.95 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 38.17 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -11%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Bias, -21.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -8.9%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 12.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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