Analysis

·

Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,267.4 to 1,281.3, up 1.10%
Market Energy Bear Bias -56.0% to Neutral 10.2%, up 66.2 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.10% — higher than 78% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 66.2 pts — higher than 98% of past rises
Trend & volatility · last 4 candles
2.19% 0.01% 0.61% 1.10% 76.0 5.9 13.7 66.2
priceenergy up · down
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 135 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 17 times

When XPDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 11 times64.7%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 6 times35.3%

Current XPDUSD market energy: 10.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 10.64%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 31.12%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-08-04 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-56.0%
Bear Bias
10.2%
Neutral
24.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, XPDUSD classified as trend energy in a neutral state.

Meanwhile, Market trend energy recorded a +66.2% rise from the previous candle, from -56% to 10.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -69.7 to +97.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XPDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 04-08-2026 closed, XPDUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 10.2%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 66.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -56% to 10.2%.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at -56%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 10.2%, XPDUSD is 10.64 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 31.12 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 44.5%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Neutral, 10.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 43.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .