Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,288.05 to 1,279.9, down 0.63%
Market Energy Bull Bias 28.9% to Neutral 9.0%, down 20.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.80%▼ 1.25%▼ 0.31%▼ 0.63%
Energy▼ 9.6▼ 22.3▼ 36.3▼ 20.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.80%▼ 1.25%▼ 0.31%▼ 0.63%▼ 9.6▼ 22.3▼ 36.3▼ 20.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.63%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.0 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 280 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 32 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 14 times — 43.8%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 18 times — 56.3%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 8.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 11.91%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 29.85%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-07-31 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
28.9%
Bull Bias
9.0%
Neutral
10.3%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Market XPDUSD in the Neutral level.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Energy delta -20%: Market Energy at 9%, previously 28.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -50.7 to +97.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 31-07-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,279.9, down 0.63% from the previous candle (1,288.05). Market Energy was 9%, down 20.0 points from 28.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,279.9, down 0.63% from the previous 4H candle (1,288.05).

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20 percentage points from the previous candle — from 28.9% to 9%.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 28.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 9%, XPDUSD is 11.91 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 29.85 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.7%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Neutral, 9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65.7%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 56.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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