Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,195.55 to 1,189.45, down 0.51%
Market Energy Bull Bias 31.2% to Neutral 16.6%, down 14.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.37%▲ 0.19%▲ 0.45%▼ 0.51%
Energy▼ 25.0▼ 16.3▲ 21.1▼ 14.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.37%▲ 0.19%▲ 0.45%▼ 0.51%▼ 25.0▼ 16.3▲ 21.1▼ 14.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.5 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,137 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-01
Number of Neutral occurrences: 4,769 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,433 times — 51%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,336 times — 49%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 16.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.52%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-10-02 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
31.2%
Bull Bias
16.6%
Neutral
16.2%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The Neutral state recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for XPDUSD.

The energy side shows A -14.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 16.6% (previous: 31.2%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +94.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,189.45, down 0.51% from the previous candle (1,195.55). Market Energy was 16.6%, down 14.5 points from 31.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,189.45, down 0.51% from the previous 1H candle (1,195.55). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 45,470 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 31.2% to 16.6%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 31.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 16.6%, XPDUSD is 4.24 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 37.52 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.2%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Neutral, 16.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 57.6%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 41 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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