Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,278.25 to 1,272.15, down 0.48%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -94.7% to Bear Extreme -82.2%, up 12.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.28%▼ 0.26%▼ 0.48%
Energy▼ 0.1▲ 5.5▼ 1.5▲ 12.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.28%▼ 0.26%▼ 0.48%▼ 0.1▲ 5.5▼ 1.5▲ 12.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.48% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.4 pts — higher than 58% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,021 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,701 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,701 times — 100%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -82.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.73%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 17.77%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-23 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-94.7%
Bear Extreme
-82.2%
Bear Extreme
-71.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, XPDUSD recorded in the Bear Extreme zone.

On the measurement side, The energy level rose +12.4%: from -94.7% now at -82.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 11 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 23-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,272.15, down 0.48% from the previous candle (1,278.25). Market Energy was -82.2%, up 12.4 points from -94.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,272.15, down 0.48% from the previous 1H candle (1,278.25). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 45,309 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -94.7% to -82.2%. This rise is larger than 58% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at -94.7%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -82.2%, XPDUSD is 7.73 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 17.77 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -58.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.5%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Extreme, -82.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 62.7%. XPDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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