Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,292.65 to 1,290.05, down 0.20%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.2% to Bull Critical 68.3%, down 13.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.26%0.46%0.07%0.20%
Energy43.954.53.413.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.26% 0.46% 0.07% 0.20% 43.9 54.5 3.4 13.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.20% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.9 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 54,823 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 2,717 times

When XPDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 846 times31.1%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,871 times68.9%

Current XPDUSD market energy: 68.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.28%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
82.2%
Bull Extreme
68.3%
Bull Critical
Expected at
13:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, Result for XPDUSD: Bull Critical.

The energy side shows A -13.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 68.3% (previous: 82.2%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +97.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,290.05, down 0.2% from the previous candle (1,292.65). Market Energy was 68.3%, down 13.9 points from 82.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,290.05, down 0.2% from the previous 1H candle (1,292.65). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 45,164 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.2% to 68.3%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 82.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.3%, XPDUSD is 6.22 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.28 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Critical, 68.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 59.3%. XPDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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