Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,392.65 to 1,384.9, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bear Bias -44.9% to Bear Critical -61.5%, down 16.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.39%0.32%0.24%0.56%
Energy15.16.50.216.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.39% 0.32% 0.24% 0.56% 15.1 6.5 0.2 16.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.6 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 54,929 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,390 times

When XPDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,779 times74.4%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 611 times25.6%

Current XPDUSD market energy: -61.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.98%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-44.9%
Bear Bias
-61.5%
Bear Critical
-59.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, XPDUSD within the Bear Critical reading.

End-of-session energy readings on 1H, Market Energy reading dropped -16.6%, moving from -44.9% to -61.5% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 05-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,384.9, down 0.56% from the previous candle (1,392.65). Market Energy was -61.5%, down 16.6 points from -44.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,384.9, down 0.56% from the previous 1H candle (1,392.65). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 45,018 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -44.9% to -61.5%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at -44.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.5%, XPDUSD is 1.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.98 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -77.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -2.1%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Critical, -61.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 15.3%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 76.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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