Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,369 to 1,366.85, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bear Bias -37.4% to Bear Bias -40.2%, down 2.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.07%0.18%0.16%
Energy11.510.90.32.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.07% 0.18% 0.16% 11.5 10.9 0.3 2.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.8 pts — higher than 20% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 54,787 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 4,318 times

When XPDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,783 times64.5%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,535 times35.5%

Current XPDUSD market energy: -40.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 19.35%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 19.77%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-08-11 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-37.4%
Bear Bias
-40.2%
Bear Bias
-33.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded XPDUSD in the Bear Bias energy state after the 1H candle closed.

Observing the XPDUSD market this session, Market trend energy recorded a -2.8% drop from the previous candle, from -37.4% to -40.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -70 to +88.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 12-08-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,366.85, down 0.16% from the previous candle (1,369). Market Energy was -40.2%, down 2.8 points from -37.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,366.85, down 0.16% from the previous 1H candle (1,369). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 44,604 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37.4% to -40.2%. This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at -37.4%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -40.2%, XPDUSD is 19.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 19.77 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -9%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Bias, -40.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 1.7%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 41.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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