Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,094.04 to 4,075.01, down 0.46%
Market Energy Bear Bias -48.8% to Bear Bias -41.0%, up 7.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.46% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.8 pts — higher than 31% of past rises
Trend & volatility · last 4 candles
1.32% 1.75% 1.12% 0.46% 8.6 3.7 2.9 7.8
priceenergy up · down
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD Weekly

Sample: 711 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 60 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 39 times65%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 21 times35%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -41%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 19%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · W1 · 2026-07-27 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-48.8%
Bear Bias
-41.0%
Bear Bias
41.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Weekly candle closes, XAUUSD within the energy zone leaning Bear.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy rose +7.8% from the previous session, from -48.8% to -41%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 5 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on Weekly when this candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 27-07-2026 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -41%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -48.8% to -41%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had XAUUSD at -48.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -41%, XAUUSD is 20.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 19 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -41%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -39.6%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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