XAUUSD 4,140.54 ↓0.02%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 04:00 Oct 20, 2026
| Price | 4,170.7 | 4,161.8 | 4,141.2 | 4,140.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 13.9% | -28.9% | -75.4% | -83.2% |
| Price change | ↓ 0.30% | ↓ 0.21% | ↓ 0.49% | ↓ 0.02% |
| Energy change | ↓ 12.9 | ↓ 42.8 | ↓ 46.4 | ↓ 7.9 |
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Trend of Bear Extreme XAUUSD 4H
▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Extreme:
- then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 588 times — 100%
- then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%
▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -83.24%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.74%
- Distance to bottom -100%: 16.76%
"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING
The Bear Extreme state determined for XAUUSD through the 4H candle data.
Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy reading dropped -7.9%, moving from -75.4% to -83.2% after the 4H candle.
Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -84.6 to 72.2.
What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 20-10-2026, XAUUSD was at 4,140.54, down 0.02% from the previous candle (4,141.25). Market Energy was -83.2%, down 7.9 points from -75.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.
How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
XAUUSD closed at 4,140.54, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (4,141.25). This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 11,995 candles since 2019.
How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 7.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.4% to -83.2%. This drop is larger than 43% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.
Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at -75.4%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.
Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?
At -83.2%, XAUUSD is 8.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.76 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Extreme mean?
Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Extreme definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 12%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Extreme, -83.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.4%. XAUUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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