Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,139.08 to 4,140.73, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.4% to Bull Bias 48.7%, up 8.4 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.09%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.30%▲ 0.04%
Energy▼ 10.2▼ 21.1▲ 12.0▲ 8.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.09%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.30%▲ 0.04%▼ 10.2▼ 21.1▲ 12.0▲ 8.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 25% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.4 pts — higher than 46% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,629 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 5,647 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,286 times — 40.5%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 3,361 times — 59.5%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 48.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.86%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
40.4%
Bull Bias
48.7%
Bull Bias
Expected at
15:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Bias state determined for XAUUSD through the 1H candle data.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy at 48.7%, up +8.4% from 40.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +85.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,140.73, up 0.04% from the previous candle (4,139.08). Market Energy was 48.7%, up 8.4 points from 40.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,140.73, up 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (4,139.08). This rise is larger than 25% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,867 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40.4% to 48.7%. This rise is larger than 46% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 40.4%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 48.7%, XAUUSD is 11.26 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.86 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 48.7%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 49.5%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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