Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,342.85 to 4,369.19, up 0.61%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.5% to Bull Bias 32.1%, up 89.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.10%0.17%0.06%0.61%
Energy15.51.112.789.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.10% 0.17% 0.06% 0.61% 15.5 1.1 12.7 89.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.61% — higher than 98% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 89.5 pts — higher than 98% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,514 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 5,640 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,285 times40.5%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 3,355 times59.5%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 32.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 27.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 11.19%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-21 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-57.5%
Bear Bias
32.1%
Bull Bias
30.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, XAUUSD within the energy state leaning Bull.

The XAUUSD market at session end, Market Energy reading rose +89.5%, moving from -57.5% to 32.1% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.7 to +97.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,369.19, up 0.61% from the previous candle (4,342.85). Market Energy was 32.1%, up 89.5 points from -57.5%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,369.19, up 0.61% from the previous 1H candle (4,342.85). This rise is larger than 98% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,734 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 89.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.5% to 32.1%. This rise is larger than 98% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -57.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 32.1%, XAUUSD is 27.93 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 11.19 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 32.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -94.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .