Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,393.26 to 4,381.76, down 0.26%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 87.9% to Bull Critical 72.0%, down 15.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.09%0.59%0.25%0.26%
Energy11.797.847.315.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.09% 0.59% 0.25% 0.26% 11.7 97.8 47.3 15.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.9 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,493 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,613 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,123 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,490 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 71.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.53%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.97%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
87.9%
Bull Extreme
72.0%
Bull Critical
54.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, XAUUSD within the Bull Critical level.

Looking at the energy level, Market trend energy recorded a -15.9% drop from the previous candle, from 87.9% to 72%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +97.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 01:00 on 19-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,381.76, down 0.26% from the previous candle (4,393.26). Market Energy was 72%, down 15.9 points from 87.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,381.76, down 0.26% from the previous 1H candle (4,393.26). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,718 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87.9% to 72%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 87.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72%, XAUUSD is 2.53 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.97 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 2.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 72%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.3%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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