Analysis

·

Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,308.39 to 4,297.63, down 0.25%
Market Energy Bull Critical 63.1% to Bull Bias 49.3%, down 13.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.02%0.32%0.25%
Energy21.81.129.013.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.02% 0.32% 0.25% 21.8 1.1 29.0 13.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.9 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,422 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 5,626 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,280 times40.5%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 3,346 times59.5%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 49.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 10.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.38%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
63.1%
Bull Critical
49.3%
Bull Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD noted at the energy state leaning Bull.

The market energy reading Energy delta -13.9%: Market Energy at 49.3%, previously 63.1%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,297.63, down 0.25% from the previous candle (4,308.39). Market Energy was 49.3%, down 13.9 points from 63.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,297.63, down 0.25% from the previous 1H candle (4,308.39). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,650 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 63.1% to 49.3%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 63.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 49.3%, XAUUSD is 10.74 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 28.38 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 49.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9.8%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 39.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .