Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,349.04 to 4,337.97, down 0.25%
Market Energy Neutral 9.2% to Neutral -10.6%, down 19.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.27%0.04%0.01%0.25%
Energy44.711.51.319.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.27% 0.04% 0.01% 0.25% 44.7 11.5 1.3 19.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.8 pts — higher than 72% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,379 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,681 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,920 times51.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,761 times48.6%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -10.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 31.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.3%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-13 22:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
9.2%
Neutral
-10.6%
Neutral
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD within neutral energy.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy dropped -19.8% from the previous candle, from 9.2% to -10.6%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 05:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,337.97, down 0.25% from the previous candle (4,349.04). Market Energy was -10.6%, down 19.8 points from 9.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,337.97, down 0.25% from the previous 1H candle (4,349.04). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,606 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 9.2% to -10.6%. This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 9.2%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -10.6%, XAUUSD is 31.46 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.3 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.4%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, -10.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -46.4%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 35.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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