Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,414.63 to 4,414.31, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.8% to Bull Critical 63.1%, down 5.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.33%0.05%0.01%
Energy43.767.98.35.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.33% 0.05% 0.01% 43.7 67.9 8.3 5.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 5% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.7 pts — higher than 35% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,379 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,603 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,121 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,482 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 63.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.11%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.8%
Bull Critical
63.1%
Bull Critical
50.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, XAUUSD recorded in Bull Critical of Market Energy.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -5.7% from the previous session, from 68.8% to 63.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,414.31, down 0.01% from the previous candle (4,414.63). Market Energy was 63.1%, down 5.7 points from 68.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,414.31, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (4,414.63). This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,511 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.8% to 63.1%. This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 68.8%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.1%, XAUUSD is 11.39 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.11 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 25.2%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 63.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -64.6%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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